Oracle Wallet Lab / Topic

Prediction Markets

A precise question needs a precise resolution process.

Prediction markets connect a question about an event to rules for resolving it. These readings focus on the distinction between a forecast, a market price, and an oracle outcome. They help a reader examine what evidence is admissible, when a result can be challenged, and which conditions govern settlement.

Begin by rewriting the market question in your own words without changing its meaning. Check the deadline, timezone, source hierarchy, and treatment of delayed or ambiguous events. Then consider the process for obtaining a final result. Use the topic pages to explore forecasting and resolution separately. Keeping those jobs distinct makes it easier to evaluate a market without mistaking confidence or popularity for a settled fact.

Continue with the Prediction Markets Oracle Wallet guide for a focused overview and related questions.

Articles in Prediction Markets